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Forecasts point to stormy 2017

As the current tropical hurricane season enters into its peak period, when more and more storms head for the Caribbean, the United States’ National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) updated their forecast for the season, predicting above normal hurricane activity.

“The season has the potential to be very active and could be the most active since 2010,” indicated NOAA in a report published on 9 August 2017. The report stresses that the forecasters now project that there is an 80% possibility that this will be an above normal season in comparison with the predictions of last May of a 45% probability, and they expect between 14 and 19 named storms (up from 11 – 17 forecast in May) and they place the number of major hurricanes at between two and five. They also maintain their forecast that there will be between 5 and 9 hurricanes.

According to Gerry Bell, from the Climate Forecasting Center of NOAA: “The wind and air patterns in the tropical Atlantic and the Caribbean, where many of these storms develop, are much more propitious for an above normal season. This is due in part to the possibility of El Niño coming together has decreased and this in turn increases the possibility of more hurricanes.”

The specialist, according to the report published on the NOAA website, also pointed out some of the other factors that indicate an above normal season, such as waters in the tropical Atlantic that are much warmer than previously forecast.

Readers will certainly note, as Gert dissipates into the North Atlantic, the formation of three areas in the tropical Atlantic which are being watched by everyone interested in hurricane development. So far there have been seven named storms: Arlene, Brett, Cindy, Don, Emily, Franklin and Gert that became a hurricane yesterday.

Source: DR1

Aug 18, 2017

Category: DR News |

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Last updated December 17, 2017 at 1:23 AM
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