News on the delayed election polls
In the run-up to the 2012 elections, several of the leading polls had already been published in the media by November 2011. This year, the publication of the last major poll was in July, showing President Danilo Medina most likely to win in a first round the 15 May 2016 presidential election.
In its online edition yesterday Sunday, 29 November 2015, Listin Diario reported that: “Combining five of seven polls that cover the Dominican electoral market projected that Medina would be re-elected with more than 30 points over Luis Abinader of the PRM.” Listin Diario reports that these scenarios show Medina with more than 60% popularity.
The polling companies are Gallup Dominicana, Asisa Research, Sigma-Dos, Caribbean Strategy Insights, Engage Burson-Martseller, Mark Penn & Shoen, Levenson and Grupo Economico del Cibao.
As reported, three of the polling companies, Asisa, Sigma and Gallup, are contracted by the government or close allies to monthly monitor the electoral market and observe fluctuations. Two companies have been commissioned by Luis Abinader, and two declare themselves as independent and are financed by local business groups.
Gallup is contracted by Grupo Comunicaciones Corripio and has reported its poll will not be released until January for “political strategy and marketing reasons.”
Listin Diario reports that what is known is that minority party leader Guillermo Moreno, is consolidating his third place position and could move up to have a double-digit ranking at the expense of Luis Abinader as well as Danilo Medina.
There is speculation that he and minority party candidate Minou Tavarez could join Luis Abinader’s campaign, with Moreno as the vice presidential candidate and Tavarez as senator for Santo Domingo, as reported in Listin Diario.
Nevertheless, Listin Diario says President Danilo Medina is at a low point compared to the high popularity levels when his re-election was announced. The downward trend has been accentuated by recent corruption scandals involving the OISOE and the judiciary.
Source: DR1, Listindiario
Nov 30, 2015
Category: DR News |